About This Archive

All predictions are archived on Zenodo with DOI registration before experimental results are announced. This creates an immutable, publicly verifiable record establishing the date each prediction was made. The record cannot be amended. Every paper includes complete mathematical derivations, testable predictions, and explicit falsification criteria.

Collective DOI: doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  ORCID: 0009-0001-8084-3870

Dark Energy Equation of State Evolution

Pre-registered: January 2024  |  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
VALIDATED · DESI DR1

Pre-registered prediction that dark energy is not a cosmological constant but an evolving scalar field, with specific w(z) trajectories derived from the COSMIC Framework's information substrate model. Filed and notarized before DESI Year 1 results. Confirmed at 3.9σ by DESI DR1 (April 2024) and strengthened by DR2 (March 2025).

Quantum Error Correction: Sub-Threshold Scaling Prediction

Pre-registered: June 2024  |  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
VALIDATED · GOOGLE WILLOW

Pre-registered prediction that quantum error correction surface codes operating below the fault-tolerance threshold should exhibit sub-exponential scaling of logical error rates with physical qubit count, derived from the COSMIC Framework's model of information substrate coherence. Confirmed by Google Quantum AI's Willow chip announcement in December 2024.

Early Galaxy Formation: Information Substrate Acceleration

Pre-registered: February 2024  |  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
VALIDATED · JWST

Pre-registered prediction that the COSMIC Framework's information substrate model implies accelerated structure formation in the early universe, producing galaxy masses and morphologies at z > 10 that exceed ΛCDM predictions. Confirmed by JWST observations of unexpectedly massive and morphologically mature galaxies, including the ALMA SPT2349-56 field, without requiring modifications to standard physics.

Hot Intracluster Gas at High Redshift: ALMA SPT2349-56

Pre-registered: April 2024  |  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
VALIDATED · ALMA

Pre-registered prediction that the COSMIC Framework implies the presence of hot, thermalized intracluster gas in high-redshift protoclusters, detectable as X-ray emission co-spatial with submillimeter galaxy overdensities. Confirmed by ALMA observations of SPT2349-56 at z = 4.3, which detected hot gas in a protocluster environment at an epoch where standard models do not predict thermalized intracluster medium formation.

DESI DR3 Dark Energy Evolution: Next-Stage Prediction

Pre-registered: 2024  |  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
ACTIVE — DESI EXTENDED SURVEY

Prediction specifying the expected w(z) trajectory from the DESI extended survey (2026-2028), including the specific redshift range where the framework predicts the clearest signal of dark energy evolution. DESI completed its five-year planned survey in May 2026 and has been approved to continue to 2028. DR3 analysis is ongoing. This prediction will be formally evaluated against DR3 results.

Why Zenodo?

Zenodo provides permanent, timestamped archiving with DOI registration. This creates an immutable record of predictions before experimental validation, ensuring transparent scientific priority and enabling independent verification of prediction dates by the scientific community.