Archive

Dated before the data

Papers and prediction records are archived on Zenodo with permanent DOIs. Each deposit is dated and cannot be altered, so anyone can check when it was filed.

About This Archive

The dates below are the earliest surviving record of each prediction. For the four results listed here, that record postdates the result, so they are consistent results, not advance predictions. The first Zenodo deposits date from July 2025; from 2026, prediction records are deposited there before their data exists. Every paper includes its derivations, testable predictions and falsification criteria.

Framework paper (all versions): doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  ORCID: 0009-0001-8084-3870

Dark Energy Equation of State Evolution

Earliest record: October 2025 (book v3.0), after the result  |  Framework paper: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
CONSISTENT · DESI DR1

Prediction that dark energy is not a cosmological constant but evolves, derived from the COSMIC Framework's information substrate model. The values later attached to it (w₀ ≈ −0.95, wₐ ≈ −0.3) lie outside DESI's measured range. DESI DR1 (April 2024) favored evolving dark energy at up to 3.9σ, and DR2 (March 2025) strengthened the preference.

Quantum Error Correction: Sub-Threshold Scaling Prediction

Earliest record: October 2025 (book v2.0), after the result  |  Framework paper: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
CONSISTENT · GOOGLE WILLOW

Prediction that quantum error correction, run below the fault-tolerance threshold, suppresses logical errors exponentially, with error rates halving at each step, derived from the COSMIC Framework's model of information substrate coherence. Google Quantum AI's Willow chip, announced in December 2024, cut errors by a factor of about 2.14 per step.

Early Galaxy Formation: Information Substrate Acceleration

Earliest record: October 2025 (book v3.0), after the first JWST results  |  Framework paper: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
CONSISTENT · JWST

Prediction that the COSMIC Framework's information substrate model implies accelerated structure formation in the early universe, producing galaxy masses and morphologies at z > 10 that exceed ΛCDM predictions. Consistent with JWST observations of unexpectedly bright, massive and mature early galaxies.

Hot Intracluster Gas at High Redshift: ALMA SPT2349-56

Earliest record: May 2026 (book v5A), after the result  |  Framework paper: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
CONSISTENT · ALMA

Prediction that early-universe clusters carry enhanced thermodynamic energy from elevated information density: hotter gas, more energetic particle interactions and accelerated star formation. ALMA observations of SPT2349-56 at z = 4.3, published in Nature in January 2026, found intracluster gas at least five times hotter than standard models predict, at an epoch where standard models expect the intracluster medium to be still assembling.

DESI DR3 Dark Energy Evolution: Next-Stage Prediction

Pre-registered: September 2026 (COSMIC-005 record; version 1.1, 17 September 2026)  |  Framework paper: 10.5281/zenodo.16426808  |  Author: Michael K. Baines
ACTIVE · DESI EXTENDED SURVEY

Pre-registered prediction (COSMIC-005) that the dark energy evolution DESI reported in DR1 and DR2 persists and strengthens in the five-year analysis, with the best fit in the quadrant w₀ > −1, wₐ < 0. No specific parameter values are claimed. DESI completed its planned five-year survey on April 15, 2026, and has been approved to continue to 2028. DR3 analysis is ongoing. It will be scored against DR3 by the decision rule fixed in the COSMIC-005 record.

Why Zenodo?

Zenodo provides permanent, timestamped archiving with DOI registration. Every deposit is dated and cannot be altered afterward, so anyone can check when a paper or prediction record was filed.